BETTING COLUMN BY SEAMUS O’CONCHUR
The opening weekend is in the books, and disgruntled gamblers everywhere are making rash judgements. In between getting carried over with scoring six without reply over a few days against UCD, we should obviously remember our record against Drogheda last season.
At times it was hard to get the ball back off them and the night they put us out of the FAI Cup at the first time of asking, there looked to be a fairly large gulf in class.
We all know what has happened since then, but a top quote of 11/8 Bohs with Bet 365 isn’t really juicy enough to get involved. Gun to head, the bet would probably be the draw.
Moving away from our own game, the fixture list is very heavy with short favourites, and mounting much of an argument against any of them is a bit of a struggle. Defending champions St Pat’s are as short as 1/7 to take care of business against UCD at Inchicore. Bets like this have gone wrong before and will go wrong in the future, so throwing all of these short prices into accumulators in the League of Ireland is fairly dangerous.
On all obvious form and respective squads though, UCD don’t have a prayer here and it might be the case that Aaron Callaghan will have a hard time getting UCD to start defending properly. The Saints will murder the Students across the middle of the park and it’s hard to see how the goals won’t follow so the home side can be backed to cover -2.25 with Bet 365 at 21/20.
Bray Wanderers upset us last week and so Sligo might be best swerved this week, managing to go one down to Athlone at home last weekend before pulling out a result late on. Dundalk were very impressive on Monday night in the Setanta Cup at Coleraine.
Given recent results, it would have been easy for Kenny and their players to panic late on, but needing two goals in the second half, when the winner finally came in injury time, it didn’t feel like a total shock even though it was cruel on the home side.
On a poor pitch Dundalk held their nerve and it was typical of Stephen O’Donnell to score the winner, fortunate as it was. They’ll take on Limerick at home tonight, where motivation and morale should be high. A 4/7 home win won’t be tipped up every week around here, but it’s worth backing in this case.
On Sunday afternoon, Derry City and Cork City play in a televised game that might look interesting on paper but may end up with two sides canceling each other out. Cork weren’t afraid of the rough stuff last Friday night ensuring they got a point against the champions and Derry were also good enough for at least a point in their opening game. One goal might be enough to win this one and with marginal preference for the home win, the prices look about right.
St Pat’s -2.25, 1pt 21/20 (Bet365)
Dundalk, 1pt 4/7 (general)
Season P+L: -1